Minggu dimulai dengan nada positif bagi EUR/USD, dengan pasangan ini pulih dari rendah minggu lalu di sekitar 1.0448, level kunci yang sudah ada sejak April 2023.
EUR/USD sedang menghadapi fase bearish, tertekan oleh dolar yang lebih kuat dan kekhawatiran ekonomi zona euro. Dukungan segera ada di level 1.0425, dengan perlawanan di sekitar 1.0500.
Gambar: EUR/USD stabil di dekat 1.0480, pulih dari rendah sambil mendekati perlawanan di tengah optimisme pasar yang hati-hati, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets.
Pedagang harus memantau data inflasi dan angka kepercayaan konsumen AS minggu ini, karena kemungkinan besar akan mempengaruhi arah pergerakan pasangan ini.
Kemampuan euro untuk bertahan di atas $1.05 dalam jangka pendek akan bergantung pada perubahan sentimen dan pengaruh data AS yang akan datang. Untuk saat ini, para pedagang EUR/USD tetap waspada, menyeimbangkan optimisme hati-hati dengan risiko penurunan yang terus-menerus.
Sementara euro menemukan sedikit kelegaan setelah nominasi Scott Bessent sebagai Menteri Keuangan AS, para pedagang tetap berhati-hati karena kepemimpinan Donald Trump diperkirakan akan mempertahankan fokus pada kebijakan fiskal yang agresif.
Morning Bid: Trump's Treasury pick boosts bond market as dollar eases https://t.co/0e42VEa8dZ pic.twitter.com/BvK3ED0QPx
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 26, 2024
Pencalonan Bessent telah meredakan kekhawatiran mengenai tekanan inflasi yang terkait dengan kebijakan Trump, menyebabkan penurunan imbal hasil Treasury dan memberikan ruang bernapas bagi euro.
Latar belakang ekonomi zona euro tetap rapuh, dengan permintaan ekspor yang melemah dan sentimen bisnis yang memburuk menambah tekanan.
The ECB cautioned that the the euro zone could be facing another debt crisis if the bloc cannot boost growth, lower public debt and fix policy uncertainty. Nomura’s George Buckley takes stock of what the bloc faces pic.twitter.com/ZTYcRXxDE5
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 22, 2024
Meski terjadi penurunan hari ini, dolar AS tetap memiliki momentum yang kuat. Indeks dolar telah naik selama delapan minggu berturut-turut, didorong oleh harapan akan langkah-langkah fiskal pro-pembangunan dari Trump.
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