Poundsterling Inggris terus mengalami penurunan terhadap dolar AS pada hari Selasa, dengan GBP/USD mencapai level terendah intraday di 1.22383 sebelum ditutup sedikit lebih tinggi di 1.22732. Penjualan besar-besaran di pasar Inggris dan pandangan hati-hati dari Bank of England membuat Pound tetap kesulitan.
The pound tumbles to its weakest level against the US dollar in over one year as investors’ concerns over the UK fiscal and inflation outlook send the nation’s assets into a tailspin https://t.co/2AHZt7FU0O
— Bloomberg (@business) January 9, 2025
Di sisi lain, Federal Reserve (Fed) mengadopsi kebijakan ketat, menambah tekanan pada pasangan ini karena Dolar AS mencapai level tertinggi dalam beberapa dekade.
Gambar: GBPUSD jatuh ke 1.227, menguji support kunci di 1.223 sementara momentum bearish mendominasi sentimen perdagangan, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets.
Pertemuan rata-rata bergerak 21 minggu yang melintasi di bawah rata-rata bergerak 55 minggu menunjukkan momentum penurunan yang berkelanjutan. Sinyal bearish ini dan fundamental yang lemah menunjukkan kemungkinan penurunan lebih lanjut dalam beberapa minggu mendatang.
Dengan momentum bearish saat ini tetap ada, GBPUSD mungkin akan menguji support di sekitar 1.2230 dalam waktu dekat. Jika level ini ditembus, perhatian akan beralih ke 1.2039. Namun, kondisi jenuh jual pada beberapa indikator teknis bisa memicu pemulihan sementara.
Kekuatan Dolar tidak hanya berasal dari data JOLTS yang lebih baik dari yang diharapkan dan aktivitas sektor jasa. Hasil Treasury AS 10 tahun mengalami peningkatan hampir 5% dalam beberapa minggu terakhir, menarik perhatian lebih dari para pelaku pasar terhadap Dolar.
Untuk sementara, GBP/USD kemungkinan akan tetap tertekan kecuali Pound mendapatkan dukungan dari data ekonomi Inggris yang lebih kuat dari yang diharapkan atau perubahan sentimen pasar.
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